TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:00 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 31 at 2:00 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 31 at 2:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates the collective judgment of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Predict, potentially driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments between sportsbooks and prediction market participants.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater perceived probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting on their predictions, and the collective actions of these traders determine the odds. The more contracts purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price will climb, reflecting increased confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the most accurate forecast of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the NYCFC vs. Montréal match, as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on the specific market conditions defined for each contract. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either NYCFC or Montréal would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also alter trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are severe, might also play a role. Finally, any breaking news related to team dynamics, coaching changes, or other relevant factors could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations on Predict.