TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tasmania or New South Wales Blues will win their Australia One-Day Cup cricket match. Currently, Kalshi gives Tasmania a 97.0% probability of winning, while New South Wales Blues is at 4.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the match as determined by the governing sports body, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, as the outcome will determine resolution, with the resolution date estimate being 2026-10-13.
If New South Wales Blues wins the New South Wales Blues vs Tasmania men's professional Australia One-Day Cup cricket match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tasmania wins the New South Wales Blues vs Tasmania men's professional Australia One-Day Cup cricket match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuously updating market. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the perceived probability of each team winning the New South Wales vs Tasmania match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome becomes reality, and is influenced by new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the New South Wales vs Tasmania match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance in recent matches, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either the New South Wales Blues or Tasmania could also cause significant movement. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.