TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the October 6, 2026 professional basketball game between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Oklahoma City Thunder. Currently, Kalshi gives Oklahoma City a 87.0% probability of winning, while New Orleans is at 14.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as determined by the official result, with resolution source being confirmation of the winning team. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 6, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the game originally scheduled for October 6, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely result of the New Orleans vs Oklahoma City game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated beliefs of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at various price points, also provides insight into the market’s liquidity and potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the New Orleans vs Oklahoma City game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 7, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the New Orleans or Oklahoma City teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team strategies, coaching changes, or player performance could also impact market prices. Furthermore, any major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, may lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market.