TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential of a football game between New Orleans and New York, determining the winner and the margin of victory. Each market corresponds to a specific range of points by which either team could win, providing granular insight into potential game outcomes.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the New Orleans vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, including any overtime periods. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team's point differential falls within the specified range for that market: exactly 0 points, between 1-6 points, between 7-14 points, or 15 or more points. Each range is mutually exclusive, ensuring only one market resolves to 'Yes' per game. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more nuanced understanding of the anticipated outcome of the New Orleans vs New York game, and highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins in the New Orleans vs New York game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific margin occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective prediction. The market’s depth—the volume of contracts available at various price points—indicates the level of confidence in each possible outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the New Orleans vs New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the game. The platform will then determine the winning contracts based on the actual margin achieved. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct winning margin will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential for price movements and adjust your trading strategy accordingly for this market.