TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:02 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether specific players or team defenses will score at least one touchdown during an upcoming football game between New Orleans and New York. Each market tracks individual performance or defensive scoring outcomes across the full game duration, including any overtime periods.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half—including overtime—the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff unless the player records the required touchdowns. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an at-least payout criterion, and this event includes touchdowns scored in overtime. Passing touchdowns do not count toward the passer's total, and team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns without applying the player participation exception.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges, potentially offering different value for informed bettors. Polls and analysts often predict outcomes, but this market provides a real-money incentive for accurate forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official number of touchdowns scored in the New Orleans versus New York game, as recorded by official game statistics. The final price of contracts in this market will reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to profit if their predictions were accurate. It’s important to monitor game developments leading up to resolution, as any changes could impact the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New Orleans or New York teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions that might affect passing or rushing attacks, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also influence the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could drive price movements in this market.