TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether J.J. McCarthy or Malik Nabers will each score at least one touchdown in the New Orleans vs New York G professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives J.J. McCarthy a 30.0% probability of scoring 1+ touchdowns, while Malik Nabers is at 28.0%. The market will resolve based on whether the New Orleans Saints D/ST scores at least one touchdown, as determined by the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026. Keep an eye on the final injury reports released before October 18, 2026, as player availability could significantly impact scoring opportunities.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified player or defensive unit scores at least one touchdown during the game. If a participant is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on whether they scored a touchdown. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count toward these markets. The markets are independent of each other, each evaluating the performance of their respective designated players or units.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of various touchdown totals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, but remember this market represents a distinct set of participants and their forecasts.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the New Orleans versus New York game will be used to determine the winning contracts. It’s important to note that the resolution will be based on official game statistics and any necessary adjustments made to account for overtime or other relevant game conditions. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New Orleans or New York teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for passing, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks, while not directly impacting this market, can influence trader sentiment. Finally, significant shifts in public opinion or large trades on Kalshi could also cause noticeable price fluctuations.