TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game by measuring how many field goals they score. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will reach specific thresholds of field goals during the match. The outcome depends purely on the game's statistical results.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals scored by each team in the New Orleans vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ field goals) for each team, and resolves to Yes only if the corresponding team meets or exceeds that threshold. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately for each team. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate – perhaps due to overlooked factors like weather or player matchups – the price here will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can emerge as new information becomes available, and the market dynamically incorporates that data. It's common to see this market move independently of initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the outcome of whether the New Orleans vs New York game will have a certain number of field goals. The price of a contract fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people want to buy (believing the outcome will occur), the price goes up, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the probability that traders assign to the event happening, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. The current price represents the cost to take one side of the bet.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, following the conclusion of the New Orleans vs New York game. The outcome will be determined by the official number of field goals scored by both teams during the game, as reported by official sports data providers. The resolution will be verified against credible public reporting to ensure accuracy and transparency. The final price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will determine which traders profit from their predictions, based on whether they bought or sold contracts anticipating a specific outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key players – injuries to kickers or changes in offensive strategy – would likely have an impact. Weather conditions, particularly wind, can significantly affect field goal attempts and therefore move the market. Late-breaking news about team morale or coaching decisions could also play a role. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence trader behavior and shift the price before the game begins, so monitoring these signals is key.