TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional football game between two teams, focusing on the performance of a specific player in terms of rushing yards gained during the match. The outcome hinges on how many rushing yards the player accumulates, with different payout levels corresponding to various yardage ranges. The real-world event is the football game itself, where the player's rushing yardage determines the result.
If Each Yes contract pays per rushing yards by Cam Skattebo in the New Orleans vs New York G Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Each 10 rushing yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts and may be influenced by factors like house bias. Sportsbooks often adjust their lines based on betting action and public perception, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when there’s a lot of uncertainty surrounding the game. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific yardage range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing opinions, providing a real-time assessment of the potential rushing yardage in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the New Orleans and New York game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics recorded by the NFL. Traders will be able to see their contracts settled based on whether the actual rushing yard total falls within the range they purchased contracts for. The resolution process aims to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is predicted, could also influence the rushing yard totals. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding play-calling strategies, or even pre-game reports about defensive matchups, could shift market sentiment. Any significant news related to player availability or game conditions has the potential to move the price of contracts in this market.