TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game, offering multiple thresholds for different athletes. Each market focuses on whether a player reaches a certain reception count, allowing for detailed analysis of individual performance.
All markets in this event are designated as protected, meaning they follow specific participation and settlement rules. If a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player meets the required reception threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward participation, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individuals. As more information becomes available—such as injury reports or weather forecasts—both sets of odds will adjust, but the speed and direction of those adjustments can vary. It’s common to see this market offer a different perspective than traditional sports betting outlets, potentially revealing insights overlooked by bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome regarding the total number of receptions in the New Orleans versus New York game. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts, predicting the number will be above a certain threshold, or sell 'no' contracts, betting it will be below. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the most likely scenario.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of receptions made by players in the New Orleans versus New York game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while losing contracts will result in a loss of the initial investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the New Orleans or New York teams would likely cause movement, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect passing game strategies. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team performance during other games could also impact trader sentiment. Major news events related to the players involved, or even broader NFL news, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.