TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the number of receptions by various players in a specific NFL game between New Orleans and New York. Each market focuses on a different player, allowing participants to speculate on individual performance metrics. Payouts are directly tied to the actual number of receptions each player achieves during the game.
These markets operate on a scalar structure where Yes contracts pay $0.05 for each reception recorded by the specified player during the New Orleans vs New York G game scheduled for October 18, 2026, up to a maximum payout of $1.00. The No contracts pay the remainder, calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Receptions are capped at 20 for payout purposes. Payouts are proportional to each holder's position size, meaning a holder with a larger position receives a correspondingly larger share of the total payout based on the final reception count. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60 per contract. Zero receptions result in a $0.00 Yes payout and a $1.00 No payout. All markets resolve independently based on the performance of their respective players.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Polls and analysts’ predictions can also differ from both, highlighting the diverse range of opinions surrounding the outcome of this game. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, providing a dynamic assessment of potential reception totals.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players in the New Orleans versus New York game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective outcome based on the actual game results, providing clarity for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could all shift expectations. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in player performance could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments during the game itself, such as a key player being sidelined, would likely cause rapid price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities before this market resolves.