TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game between New Orleans and New York. Participants bet on whether each player's reception count will hit certain thresholds, with payouts scaling based on performance. The structure rewards higher reception totals with progressively larger returns for 'Yes' contracts.
Contracts in this market resolve based on the official number of receptions recorded by specified players during the New Orleans vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each player market, 'Yes' contracts pay out according to a tiered schedule that increases with the number of receptions, calculated using the formula floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where 's' represents the official receptions. Payouts cap at $1.00 per contract, with 'No' contracts paying the difference between $1.00 and the 'Yes' payout. All markets resolve to 'Yes' if the payout conditions are met for the respective player. The structure ensures that higher reception totals yield proportionally higher returns within the defined tiers, applying uniformly across all player-specific markets in this event.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd and the experts diverge in their expectations for the New Orleans vs New York game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at various price points, giving traders an understanding of how easily they can enter or exit a position. Traders are essentially betting on their forecast of total receptions, and the market price aggregates those individual beliefs.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of receptions achieved by players in the New Orleans vs New York game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics from a reputable sports data provider will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will be able to see their positions settled based on whether their predicted reception total aligns with the actual game results, and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers on either the New Orleans or New York teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or offensive play-calling tendencies could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Even general sentiment shifts, driven by analyst opinions or social media buzz, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.