TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming professional football game, focusing on receiving yard thresholds for various players on both teams. The outcome depends entirely on whether the designated players meet or exceed their respective yardage targets during the game.
Each market assesses whether a specified player achieves a particular receiving yard threshold in the designated game. If the player meets or exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves strictly based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These provisions apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of the total receiving yards falling at or below that level. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective expectations of participants regarding player performance in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard totals from the New Orleans versus New York game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual total receiving yards achieved by all eligible players in the game. Traders holding contracts that correctly predict the outcome will receive a payout based on the final price, while those with incorrect predictions may incur a loss.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the New Orleans or New York teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact passing game strategies and affect the expected receiving yard totals. Furthermore, late-breaking news about defensive matchups or coaching decisions could sway traders’ opinions and lead to shifts in the market price before Oct 18, 2026.