TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:28 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' ability to connect with receivers for scores during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns recorded by specified quarterbacks during the New Orleans vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ passing touchdowns), and if the quarterback meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. These rules apply independently to each quarterback listed, and the markets are not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. You may find that this market offers odds that differ from traditional sportsbooks, potentially providing an edge for informed bettors. It’s always wise to compare both to get a broader view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific number of passing touchdowns, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust predictions as the event approaches. The current market price represents the aggregated belief of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing touchdowns scored in the New Orleans versus New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact predictions. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception or betting trends observed at sportsbooks might influence trading activity on Kalshi.