TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in the final quarter of a football game between two teams. Bettors predict whether the combined score will exceed certain thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout based on the point total.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter of the designated football game, with overtime points excluded. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds increase progressively from 3.5 points to 24.5 points across the ten markets, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in the game's final quarter. The governing league's official scoring rules apply, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring – in this case, the 4th Quarter Total falling within a certain range. As more traders buy contracts representing a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing expectations about the New Orleans vs New York game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th Quarter Total of the New Orleans vs New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data source. The market will settle to 100 if the outcome occurs, and 0 if it does not, based on the specific parameters of the contracts traded. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the New Orleans or New York teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also shift the market. In-game performance during the first three quarters, if it suggests a trend in scoring, might also lead to adjustments in the price of contracts for the 4th Quarter Total. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking news related to team strategy could also play a role.