TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams combined in the second half of a football game, including any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'.
These markets resolve based on the combined second-half scoring of New Orleans and New York G in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold—ranging from over 3.5 points to over 42.5 points—that the total second-half points must exceed for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. All thresholds apply exclusively to points scored in the second half, including any overtime periods added to that half. If the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. The secondary rule consistently clarifies that only second-half points, including overtime of the second half, count toward each market's resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty surrounding the New Orleans vs New York game. However, as the event approaches, this market tends to converge with sportsbook odds, reflecting a shared understanding of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring – in this case, the second-half total score falling above or below a certain threshold. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants regarding the New Orleans vs New York game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-half total score of the New Orleans vs New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of whether the market resolves in favor of the 'over' or 'under' outcome. No further information is available regarding the specific details of the resolution process beyond this general timing and verification method.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New Orleans or New York team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions for the New Orleans vs New York game.