TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the first half leader in a basketball match between New Orleans and Dallas. The outcome depends entirely on which team has more points at halftime, with a specific resolution for a tied score as well.
The market resolves based on the first half scoring of the New Orleans vs Dallas Pro Basketball game scheduled for October 14, 2026. If New Orleans scores more points in the first half, the New Orleans outcome resolves to Yes. If Dallas scores more points in the first half, the Dallas outcome resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points in the first half, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. For any game postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant number of people believe one team will perform better than expected, the price of that outcome will rise, potentially moving further away from initial sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates greater confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome and capitalizing on price movements. The market’s depth and volume provide insights into how strongly different outcomes are believed by participants.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the first half of the New Orleans vs Dallas game will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official results reported by the governing body of the sport, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New Orleans or Dallas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy, weather forecasts, or even public sentiment expressed through polls and social media could also play a role. Unexpected announcements about player availability or coaching decisions in the days leading up to the game could also shift the market’s direction, as traders react to the latest information.