TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New Orleans will win its professional basketball game against Dallas. Currently, Kalshi gives New Orleans a 92.0% probability of winning, while Dallas is at 8.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the New Orleans vs Dallas Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 14, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
This event involves two separate markets resolving based on the winner of the New Orleans vs Dallas Pro Basketball game scheduled for October 14, 2026. If New Orleans wins, the first market resolves to Yes; if Dallas wins, the second market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action and public perception, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news, as traders incorporate information and adjust their positions. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow provide insights into the strength of conviction behind each potential result, allowing traders to assess the perceived value of each contract.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the final score of the New Orleans Saints versus the Dallas Cowboys game, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Saints or the Cowboys would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game location, and even significant shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis could also move the market. Unexpected developments during the week leading up to the game, such as a major team scandal or a surprising roster change, could also introduce volatility and influence trading activity.