TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

Markets across

39,583

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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New Orleans Privateers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (W)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of New Orleans vs Arkansas?

Total volume:
$6,916
Volume 24h:
$1,214
72%
Liquidity:
$1,432
11%
Open interest:
$5,914
12%

New Orleans Privateers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (W)

 - Polymarket

New Orleans Privateers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (W) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

New Orleans Privateers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (W)

53%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 53.3¢ buys you 188 shares | Odds: 53% Total Payout: $188 | Net Profit: $88 Multiplier: 1.88x | ROI: 88% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New Orleans Privateers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (W)

Trade
53%
52%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$1,432
$54
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Arkansas

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,409
N/A
N/A
$3,528
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,452
N/A
N/A
$2,386
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the New Orleans Privateers and the Arkansas Razorbacks, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. The markets aim to determine which team wins the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic incorrectly states that the market resolves to 'Yes' if *either* team wins, creating a logical impossibility. Polymarket's logic is standard.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as the more logically sound market. Kalshi's market is likely to be problematic upon settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on which team wins the game on November 2nd, with provisions for postponement and cancellation. "This event is for the WBB game between New Orleans Privateers and Arkansas Razorbacks on November 2 at 7:30PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either Arkansas or New Orleans wins the game. "If Arkansas wins the New Orleans vs Arkansas women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New Orleans wins the New Orleans vs Arkansas women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the WBB game between New Orleans Privateers and Arkansas Razorbacks on November 2 at 7:30PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the women's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those available here, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. This means that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate, especially when there's a lot of uncertainty or hidden information. However, sportsbooks often offer more favorable pricing due to promotional offers and competitive pressures. The difference in odds can also be influenced by market liquidity and the specific events driving trading activity.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can vary significantly, leading to different levels of price efficiency. Differences in how each platform handles margin requirements or allows for short selling can also contribute to price discrepancies. It's common to see these variations, even for the same underlying event, as each market operates as a distinct ecosystem.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the New Orleans vs. Arkansas game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the final score against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the market’s odds at the time of resolution. This process ensures a fair and reliable outcome for all participants.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could impact the perceived likelihood of either team winning. Significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also influence traders here. Public sentiment and media coverage can also play a role, particularly if there's a shift in the narrative surrounding the game. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements before the event takes place.