TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 4:47 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC: If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "New Orleans Pelicans". If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Oklahoma City Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC: If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "New Orleans Pelicans". If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Oklahoma City Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths and potential game outcomes. If you observe a significant difference between the two, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable part of your overall research.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective probability assigned to that outcome by the traders. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly updating as new information becomes available or opinions change. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of the game's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the New Orleans Pelicans versus Oklahoma City Thunder game. The winning team, as determined by the official game statistics, will be the basis for determining the winning contracts in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payout based on the final market prices at resolution. Please note that the exact timing of resolution may depend on the availability of official results.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting lineups, or significant team performance updates could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or a shift in public perception of either team's chances could also lead to price fluctuations. Major upsets in other games that affect playoff positioning or team motivation might also play a role. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.