TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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New Mexico vs. San Jose State
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of New Mexico vs San Jose State?

Volume:
$1,119,448

New Mexico

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 6:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Mexico

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$213,569
N/A
N/A
$97,570
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New Mexico vs. San Jose State

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -4.5

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Jose St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$783,171
N/A
N/A
$384,241
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 41.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,727
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -27.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$755
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 47.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$721
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 230

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a pick-six being scored in the New Mexico vs. San Jose State college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of a pick-six occurring is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. The resolution source for this market is the official NCAA website. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 31st, as the outcome will depend on defensive and offensive performance during the contest.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant divergence in market types and resolution criteria. Kalshi focuses on a simple binary outcome, while Polymarket offers a wide range of markets with detailed scoring rules.Hero tip: Be mindful of the specific market you are trading and its resolution rules on each platform. Kalshi's 'winner' market is less informative than Polymarket's spread or over/under markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Offers a single binary market resolving to 'Yes' if either team wins. The logic is redundant and doesn't specify which team needs to win.
  • Polymarket: Provides a wide array of markets (spreads, over/unders, team totals) with precise resolution criteria based on final game scores. Includes tie and cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and San Jose State, scheduled for October 31 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. This market will resolve to "San Jose State" if San Jose State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If San Jose St. wins the New Mexico vs San Jose St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New Mexico wins the New Mexico vs San Jose St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts, creating a more dynamic and potentially more accurate reflection of true probabilities. This market’s price movements can sometimes anticipate shifts in sportsbook lines, as new information emerges and is rapidly incorporated by traders. The volume of $1,119,448 suggests active engagement with this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the New Mexico-San Jose State game can vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and liquidity, which can influence price formation. Furthermore, the specific contract designs – for example, whether it’s a binary outcome market or an over/under – can attract different types of traders and lead to differing valuations. Regulatory frameworks and fee structures also play a role. While both platforms aim to predict the same event, these distinctions contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market.