TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored by both teams in a specific college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of the game meeting or exceeding those point totals.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of New Mexico and San Jose State in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being tracked.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by a large number of participants, unlike sportsbook odds which are adjusted less frequently. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely total points scored in the New Mexico vs San Jose State game. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the New Mexico vs San Jose State football game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points range will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Key injuries to starting players on either the New Mexico or San Jose State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, any significant public information regarding player form or team morale could influence trader sentiment and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential shifts.