TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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New Mexico vs. Nevada
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of New Mexico vs. Nevada?

Total volume:
$2,980
Volume 24h:
$2,191
203%
Liquidity:
$203,942
1,391%
Open interest:
$2,040
254%

New Mexico

 - Kalshi

New Mexico - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:06h:46m

New Mexico wins

78%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 78¢ buys you 128 shares | Odds: 78% Total Payout: $128 | Net Profit: $28 Multiplier: 1.28x | ROI: 28% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Mexico

Trade
78%
2%
Yes 78¢No 23¢
1¢
N/A
$779
132%
N/A
$611
4d 6h 46m
Active
polymarket

New Mexico vs. Nevada

Trade
78%
Yes 79¢No 24¢
3¢
$11,223
$304
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
predict

New Mexico vs. Nevada

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 6h 46m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
77.5%
Yes 79¢No 24¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

Spread -8.5

Trade
52%
1%
Yes 53¢No 49¢
2¢
$11,718
$50
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

O/U 39.5

Trade
48%
Yes 49¢No 53¢
2¢
$6,808
$187
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -10.5

Trade
46%
2%
Yes 47¢No 55¢
2¢
$13,096
$42
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
kalshi

Nevada

Trade
23%
4%
Yes 23¢No 78¢
1¢
N/A
$1,618
257%
105,647%
$1,429
4d 6h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -20.5

Trade
23%
21%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
$5,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -17.5

Trade
28%
15%
Yes 30¢No 73¢
3¢
$4,709
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -16.5

Trade
32%
16%
Yes 34¢No 70¢
4¢
$3,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -14.5

Trade
36%
Yes 37¢No 66¢
3¢
$4,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -13.5

Trade
40%
10%
Yes 41¢No 62¢
3¢
$3,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -7.5

Trade
53%
1%
Yes 54¢No 48¢
2¢
$6,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

Trade
61%
13%
Yes 64¢No 42¢
6¢
$4,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
64%
9%
Yes 65¢No 38¢
3¢
$4,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

Trade
66%
17%
Yes 69¢No 37¢
6¢
$4,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
68%
14%
Yes 70¢No 34¢
4¢
$4,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
75%
25%
Yes 77¢No 28¢
5¢
$4,318
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
77%
23%
Yes 79¢No 26¢
5¢
$4,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -0.5

Trade
78%
22%
Yes 79¢No 24¢
3¢
$2,969
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -0.5

Trade
23%
76%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
$2,933
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
20%
17%
Yes 22¢No 82¢
4¢
$4,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
19%
19%
Yes 21¢No 84¢
5¢
$3,580
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
14%
33%
Yes 16¢No 87¢
3¢
$4,278
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

Trade
13%
7%
Yes 14¢No 89¢
3¢
$5,243
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 3h 46m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 173

Description

This group tracks the outcome of the New Mexico vs. Nevada college football game scheduled for November 6th. Markets exist for the winner of the game, the point spread, over/under totals, and various player/team statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's 'winner' market resolves to 'Yes' regardless of which team wins, creating a fundamentally different risk profile than Polymarket's markets which specify the winning team.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket markets for more precise exposure to the game's outcome. Avoid the Kalshi 'winner' market due to its unusual resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either New Mexico or Nevada wins. Essentially a 'game happens' market. "If Nevada wins the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New Mexico wins the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'New Mexico' if New Mexico wins, or 'Nevada' if Nevada wins. Offers a wide range of markets including point spreads and over/unders. "This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and Nevada, scheduled for November 6 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for November 6, 2026. If Nevada wins, the market resolves to Yes for the Nevada outcome; if New Mexico wins, it resolves to Yes for the New Mexico outcome. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves using the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi emphasizes it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and Nevada, scheduled for November 6 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the New Mexico vs. Nevada game. Currently, total volume across both platforms is $2,980, with $1,877 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors New Mexico vs. Nevada at 77.5%, while Kalshi leans toward New Mexico wins at 78.0%. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the most probability lies for this matchup, aggregating information from multiple sources into a single view.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the game’s outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly disagrees with the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Often, prediction markets incorporate information and analysis faster than sportsbooks, leading to more efficient pricing, though both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to a number of factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, differences in market design – such as the types of contracts offered or the liquidity available – can contribute to price discrepancies. For example, one platform might focus more on the point spread, while the other emphasizes the outright winner, leading to varying probabilities reflected in the prices. These differences are normal and highlight the benefits of aggregating data across multiple platforms.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the New Mexico vs. Nevada game will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market data following the conclusion of the game. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or changes in game location might also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market.