TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:30 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and Hawai'i, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and Hawai'i, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities as the event approaches, although sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation, driving prices towards a fair representation of the underlying probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the New Mexico-Hawai'i game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand when the market will be settled and how the outcome will be verified. The resolution process is designed to be impartial and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either team, significant changes in weather forecasts, or unexpected coaching decisions could all shift trader sentiment. News regarding team morale, practice performance, or even public statements from key personnel can also impact the market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to cause price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and team updates is crucial for understanding potential market movements.