TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming USL Championship game between New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising FC, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico United" if New Mexico United score more goals than Phoenix Rising FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Phoenix Rising FC" if Phoenix Rising FC score more goals than New Mexico United in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming USL Championship game between New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising FC, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico United" if New Mexico United score more goals than Phoenix Rising FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Phoenix Rising FC" if Phoenix Rising FC score more goals than New Mexico United in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of shares for Phoenix Rising FC to win the second half indicates a strong expectation of their victory, driven by the substantial volume traded in that direction. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the second half of the New Mexico United versus Phoenix Rising FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the second half of the game. Any goals scored during the second half will be considered in determining the winning team. The platform will then verify the result and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either New Mexico United or Phoenix Rising FC could significantly shift the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on game day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected events during the first half of the match, such as a red card or early goal, would likely cause a rapid adjustment in the price of shares in this market. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected by analyst predictions, could also play a role.