TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 12:34 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico United" if New Mexico United are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Phoenix Rising FC" if Phoenix Rising FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico United" if New Mexico United are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Phoenix Rising FC" if Phoenix Rising FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of each outcome. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move more quickly in response to breaking news or significant betting activity. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective on the likely result of the New Mexico United match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of either New Mexico United or Phoenix Rising FC scoring first.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the New Mexico United versus Phoenix Rising FC match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all traders.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either New Mexico United or Phoenix Rising FC would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, recent match results, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed shortly before the match are also potential catalysts. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving probabilities and potentially identify advantageous trading opportunities in this market.