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Closed: Oct 4, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming USL Championship match between New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising on October 4, 2026, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising both score a goal in the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than polls or point spreads, sometimes incorporating information not yet fully reflected in sportsbook odds. It’s common to see some degree of alignment, but also divergence, as different factors influence each type of market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams to Score' occurring in the New Mexico United match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event happening. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading in this market, and the platform facilitates a transparent price discovery process based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the New Mexico United versus Phoenix Rising match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both teams score at least one goal during regulation time (90 minutes plus any added stoppage time). Any goals scored during extra time or a penalty shootout will not be considered. The platform will verify the final score against official sources to determine whether the 'Both Teams to Score' outcome occurred.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either New Mexico United or Phoenix Rising would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Late-breaking team news, such as starting lineups or tactical adjustments, could also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information regarding team form or motivation could influence trading activity.