TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Two USL Championship soccer teams, New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising, will compete in a match scheduled for October 4, 2026. The outcome depends solely on which team wins the game within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
If New Mexico United wins the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Phoenix Rising wins the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising match, as reported by official sources. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual outcome. It’s important to monitor official announcements and results as the event approaches to understand the final determination of this market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either New Mexico United or Phoenix Rising could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price, reflecting a sudden change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential market movements.