TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:17 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming USL Championship game between New Mexico United and Monterey Bay FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico United" if New Mexico United score more goals than Monterey Bay FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if New Mexico United and Monterey Bay FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Monterey Bay FC" if Monterey Bay FC score more goals than New Mexico United in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming USL Championship game between New Mexico United and Monterey Bay FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico United" if New Mexico United score more goals than Monterey Bay FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if New Mexico United and Monterey Bay FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Monterey Bay FC" if Monterey Bay FC score more goals than New Mexico United in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the collective forecast. Currently, the market indicates a strong expectation for one particular outcome, as evidenced by the share prices.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by which team, if any, wins the second half of the New Mexico United match, or if the second half ends in a draw. The final score at the end of the second half will be the basis for verifying the outcome, and the result will be reported by established sports news sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team tactics, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first half of the match will likely have a significant impact, as will any in-game events such as red cards or penalties. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and analysts could also sway opinions and cause the odds to move. Overall team form and recent results will also be considered by traders as they assess the probabilities.