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420,493

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5

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New Mexico United vs. Monterey Bay FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of New Mexico United vs. Monterey Bay FC?

Volume:
$22,450

New Mexico United

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 11:08 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Mexico United

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,253
N/A
N/A
$11,031
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New Mexico United

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Monterey Bay FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,879
N/A
N/A
$3,669
Settled
No
polymarket

Monterey Bay FC

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,151
N/A
N/A
$3,244
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (New Mexico United vs. Monterey Bay FC)

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer match between New Mexico United and Monterey Bay FC scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets exist for New Mexico United winning, Monterey Bay FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket resolves 'No' if the game is canceled, while Kalshi resolves 'Yes' for Tie if the game is canceled, creating a logical inconsistency.Hero tip: Be mindful of the cancellation risk. If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, consider avoiding or hedging positions in the 'Tie' market on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve to 'No' if New Mexico United does not win, and the game is canceled. 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".'
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the game ends in a tie, even if the game is canceled. 'If Tie is the result of the New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay FC professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between New Mexico United and Monterey Bay FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay FC professional USL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for either team’s market occurs if that specific team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. All markets are independent and resolve exclusively based on the stated conditions without regard to post-regulation proceedings.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the New Mexico United match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $22,450, with $19,216 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their predictions and hedge against risk related to the game's result. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of market sentiment regarding the New Mexico United match, displaying the probabilities assigned to each possible outcome by the crowd.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets allow participants to directly trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of events, and comparing them can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making regarding this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either New Mexico United or Monterey Bay FC could significantly shift predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or social media discussion, can impact trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.