TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets determine whether either team wins by a margin exceeding specific goal differences. The focus is solely on the winning team's ability to cover the spread, not just on who wins the game.
Markets resolve based on whether Detroit or New Jersey wins by more than the specified goal margins in the Oct 13, 2026 NHL game. A win by the required margin triggers a resolution to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. As with total goals markets, if the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the scheduled start, markets stay open and resolve per the official result. Cancellation or failure to start within 48 hours leads to a fair price resolution for all markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, whereas this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs and information. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, or that there’s information not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the event.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the New Jersey vs Detroit game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the final result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution will reflect the official result of the game, as reported by a trusted source.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the New Jersey or Detroit teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy, weather forecasts, or even public sentiment based on expert analysis could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about player availability, coaching changes, or any other development that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning – or winning by a certain margin – will likely be reflected in the trading activity.