TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers various markets related to the college football game between New Haven and Central Connecticut State on October 24th. Markets include the winner of the game, the point spread, and the over/under on the total points scored. The markets are designed to resolve based on the final game results.
In the upcoming college football game between New Haven and Central Connecticut State, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Haven" if New Haven win the game. This market will resolve to "Central Connecticut State" if Central Connecticut State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between New Haven and Central Connecticut State, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Haven" if New Haven win the game. This market will resolve to "Central Connecticut State" if Central Connecticut State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate new information or specialized knowledge. The volume on this market is currently $2,849, indicating the level of interest and potential accuracy compared to traditional betting venues. Ultimately, both offer insights, but they are driven by different mechanisms.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, different platforms may attract different types of traders – some may be more focused on short-term speculation, while others prioritize long-term accuracy. Currently, Polymarket favors Central Connecticut State (-5.5) at 100 percent, while Predict leans toward New Haven vs. Central Connecticut State. These differences highlight the independent nature of price formation on each platform.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New Haven or CCSU teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also shift predictions. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could move the market. The current volume is $2,849, and increased trading activity in response to these events would be a clear signal of changing sentiment.