TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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New Haven vs. Austin Peay
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of New Haven vs. Austin Peay?

Volume:
$2,850,669

Austin Peay

 - Kalshi

Austin Peay - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 8:23 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Austin Peay

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$165,588
N/A
N/A
$136,422
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Haven

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,680,608
N/A
N/A
$2,246,679
Settled
No
polymarket

New Haven vs. Austin Peay

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 61.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2H Moneyline

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the New Haven vs. Austin Peay college football game, specifically whether New Haven will win the 2nd half moneyline. Currently, the consensus probability of New Haven vs. Austin Peay winning the 2nd half moneyline is 60.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will be resolved based on results reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the final result will determine market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers a wide range of markets (spreads, over/under) while Kalshi only provides a binary win market. Resolution criteria differ significantly across these market types.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi and Polymarket markets as independent. Don't assume a relationship between the binary win market on Kalshi and the spread/over-under markets on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers a variety of markets including spreads, over/under, and a binary win market. Resolution depends on the specific market question. If the game is canceled, markets resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Only offers a binary market resolving to 'Yes' if either New Haven or Austin Peay wins the game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between New Haven and Austin Peay, scheduled for October 3 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Haven" if New Haven win the game. This market will resolve to "Austin Peay" if Austin Peay win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either New Haven or Austin Peay wins the game as scheduled on October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating diverse opinions. This can lead to differences compared to sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller group of professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like house edge and perceived public biases, while prediction markets tend to be more fluid and responsive to new information. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of different outcomes, and discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders in this market.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, different market structures – for example, one platform might offer a spread market while the other focuses on a simple win/loss outcome – can also contribute to price discrepancies. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads and more efficient pricing for this market.

Several signals could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role. Major upsets in related games or shifts in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks could also prompt traders on Polymarket and Kalshi to reassess their positions, leading to price movements.