TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Participants can speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of risk and potential return based on expected game intensity.
All markets resolve based on the official total points scored by New Hampshire and Merrimack in their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 26.5, 30.5 points, up to 66.5 points); if the combined score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual commencement.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides of a bet, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their true beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis regarding the final points total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total points scored falling within a certain range. As more traders buy contracts predicting a higher points total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the dashboard, allowing traders to assess the available liquidity and potential price movements. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the New Hampshire vs Merrimack game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy could significantly shift expectations about the final score. Unexpected weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, might also impact the game's scoring pace. Additionally, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.