TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers various markets related to the college football game between New Hampshire and Merrimack on October 24th. Markets include the winner of the game, point spreads, and the over/under on total points scored. The markets are designed to resolve based on the final game results.
In the upcoming college football game between New Hampshire and Merrimack, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Hampshire" if New Hampshire win the game. This market will resolve to "Merrimack" if Merrimack win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between New Hampshire and Merrimack, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Hampshire" if New Hampshire win the game. This market will resolve to "Merrimack" if Merrimack win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. The volume of $474 in this market suggests a level of interest and informed trading that may provide a different signal than a typical betting line.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Polymarket may have more sophisticated traders or access to unique data, while Predict might be more influenced by casual bettors. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform – currently $474 overall – can impact price discovery. Different fee structures and market-making activity on Polymarket versus Predict also contribute to these variations.