TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
A college football showdown pits two teams against each other, with the winner determined by the final score after regulation time. The game draws attention from sports analysts and fans predicting the likely victor.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the New Hampshire vs Merrimack game, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined solely by supply and demand; as more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism where the market continuously updates its forecast based on the latest trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the New Hampshire vs Merrimack game, as officially reported by a recognized sports authority, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on game day, particularly if they are expected to be severe, could also impact the market. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the New Hampshire vs Merrimack game can influence trader behavior and cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in related games could also indirectly affect this market.