TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between New England and Seattle. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market accounts for possible tie outcomes as well as scenarios where the game might be canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The event resolves based on the result of the New England vs Seattle professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: New England win, Seattle win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after the specified duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result within regular time plus stoppage time, with no regard for post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalties. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. If prediction market participants believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially leading to a divergence in probabilities. It’s common to see this market offer a different perspective than conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a continuous double auction, meaning prices are determined by the highest bid and lowest ask at any given moment, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism for the NFL game market.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the New England versus Seattle game will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final price of that contract at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities of each team winning. Major media coverage or analysis predicting a particular outcome could also drive trading volume and price movements. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or social media, might also play a role, as traders react to the evolving narrative surrounding the New England versus Seattle game.