TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
For the MLS encounter between New England and New York RB on October 28, 2026, this event evaluates if both teams find the back of the net at least once during the 90 minutes of play and subsequent stoppage time. The determination is based exclusively on the scoring efforts of both teams within the normal match duration, disregarding any extra time or penalty phases.
If New England and New York RB both score a goal in the New England vs New York RB MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe both teams will score, the price will move in that direction, potentially diverging from sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both New England and New York RB will score during the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'Yes' outcome; conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the New England and New York RB teams score at least one goal during the scheduled match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will receive or pay out funds based on their positions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either New England or New York RB would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Additionally, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-match commentary, could alter trader sentiment and influence the price of contracts in this market.