TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Eli Raridon or Rhamondre Stevenson will each score at least one touchdown in the New England vs Miami professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 100.0% probability to both Eli Raridon and Rhamondre Stevenson scoring 1+ touchdowns. The resolution source for this market is whether Hunter Henry scores at least 1+ touchdowns in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the match scheduled for November 1st, 2026, with final resolution occurring by November 2nd, 2026.
These markets resolve based on whether designated players or defensive units score at least one touchdown in the specified football game. For each participant, if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to whether they scored a touchdown during the game. Importantly, touchdowns scored during fake punts or field goals by the offensive team are excluded and do not count toward resolving these markets. All markets operate independently, and each is evaluated based on the specific participant's involvement and scoring activity during the game.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and developments, potentially diverging from fixed sportsbook lines, and then converging as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price reflecting the true probability of the event.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the New England versus Miami game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions that could impact scoring. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team dynamics could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could drive trading activity and move the price of contracts in this market.