TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:22 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between New England and Miami will resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the New England vs Miami MLS game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a different threshold for the total goals needed to resolve as 'Yes', ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the collective belief of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the anticipated outcome, and potentially reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers regarding the total goals in the New England vs Miami game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. The goal is to create a market where the prices accurately reflect the true probabilities, allowing traders to profit from correctly predicting the final total goals scored in the New England vs Miami match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the New England vs Miami match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is designed to be clear and based on widely accepted data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either New England or Miami would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also shift expectations. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could influence trading activity and move this market before Nov 2, 2026.