TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team exceeds various scoring thresholds. They allow participants to speculate on the offensive output of New England and Miami based on predefined point benchmarks.
Each market specifies a threshold number of points that either New England or Miami must exceed for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the specified team scores more than the stated threshold points in the game scheduled for November 1, 2026, the corresponding market resolves positively. The thresholds vary across markets, offering multiple levels of scoring expectations for both teams. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it's common to see convergence as the event approaches, with both sets of odds reflecting the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether each team’s actual score exceeds the contracted point total. The resolution will reflect the official results as reported by the governing body of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game day. News regarding key player injuries or changes in coaching strategy for either the New England or Miami teams would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts might also move the market, as traders react to perceived changes in competitive advantage. Any significant public statements from analysts or experts could also influence sentiment and trading volume.