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$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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New England vs Miami: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of New England vs Miami?

Volume:
$9,209,151

New England wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

New England wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 7:35 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New England wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$291,870
N/A
N/A
$133,311
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New England wins by over 4.5 points

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$276,919
N/A
N/A
$120,239
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New England wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$249,227
N/A
N/A
$166,673
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New England wins by over 1.5 points

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$136,230
N/A
N/A
$79,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New England wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,760,233
N/A
N/A
$2,037,438
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,944,351
N/A
N/A
$1,113,489
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,597,671
N/A
N/A
$1,457,358
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400,117
N/A
N/A
$163,537
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$395,626
N/A
N/A
$206,314
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 5.5 points

0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373,864
N/A
N/A
$190,684
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$219,816
N/A
N/A
$168,354
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 13.5 points

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$139,968
N/A
N/A
$79,427
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 1.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,274
N/A
N/A
$36,253
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 14.5 points

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,691
N/A
N/A
$35,609
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 20.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,658
N/A
N/A
$38,623
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,118
N/A
N/A
$29,545
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 27.5 points

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,309
N/A
N/A
$30,210
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 5.5 points

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,067
N/A
N/A
$22,733
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 9.5 points

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,326
N/A
N/A
$19,105
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 6.5 points

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,690
N/A
N/A
$20,827
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 17.5 points

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,571
N/A
N/A
$13,228
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 16.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,760
N/A
N/A
$15,055
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,191
N/A
N/A
$11,168
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 7.5 points

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,080
N/A
N/A
$9,558
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 14.5 points

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,468
N/A
N/A
$7,062
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market asks whether New England will win by more than 1.5 points in their upcoming game against Miami. Currently, the probability of New England winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 95.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, as determined by the final point differential. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Miami wins by more than 6.5 points, and the resolution date estimate is November 2, 2026.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on the point differential in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If New England wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'New England wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Miami wins by exceeding the specified margin, the relevant 'Miami wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves solely based on its own threshold. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL spread market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different point spreads is changing over time, as reflected by the prices traders are willing to pay. Currently, the total volume for this market is $9,201,264, with $6,826,046 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the New England versus Miami game.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents a broader range of opinions. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when considering information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, it’s important to note that sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, influencing public perception and potentially impacting this market as well.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the New England versus Miami game, as determined by official league results, will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the final score differential, and contracts corresponding to the correct spread will be settled at 100. It’s important to monitor news sources for official results as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either New England or Miami would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, significant public betting activity at sportsbooks, or even shifts in public opinion reflected in polls, could influence trading behavior on Kalshi. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also contribute to price movements.