TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether New England will win by more than 1.5 points in their upcoming game against Miami. Currently, the probability of New England winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 95.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, as determined by the final point differential. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Miami wins by more than 6.5 points, and the resolution date estimate is November 2, 2026.
Each market resolves based on the point differential in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If New England wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'New England wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Miami wins by exceeding the specified margin, the relevant 'Miami wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves solely based on its own threshold. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents a broader range of opinions. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when considering information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, it’s important to note that sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, influencing public perception and potentially impacting this market as well.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the New England versus Miami game, as determined by official league results, will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the final score differential, and contracts corresponding to the correct spread will be settled at 100. It’s important to monitor news sources for official results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either New England or Miami would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, significant public betting activity at sportsbooks, or even shifts in public opinion reflected in polls, could influence trading behavior on Kalshi. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also contribute to price movements.