TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Pro Football matchup between New England and Miami, spectators and analysts will watch closely to see if either team manages to score a safety. A safety occurs when the offensive team is tackled in its own end zone or commits certain penalties there, awarding two points to the opposing team.
If New England or Miami record a safety in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market absorbs information and adjusts expectations regarding the New England vs Miami game. Comparing the two can provide valuable insight into public versus informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a safety will occur in the New England vs Miami game. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of a safety, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its forecast.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether a safety was officially recorded during the New England vs Miami game according to official game statistics. The final score and official game logs will be used to determine if a safety occurred. The market will then settle based on whether a safety was scored, with payouts determined by the final price of the contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the New England vs Miami game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key defensive players on either team could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor a defensive struggle, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any pre-game analysis highlighting a team's tendency to force turnovers or commit penalties could move the price as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.