TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific New England and Miami football players in an upcoming game, focusing on how many rushing yards each player accumulates. Contracts tied to each player will pay out based on the exact number of yards they rush for, with a defined maximum payout structure. The outcome reflects the combined statistical achievements of these players during the contest.
The event consists of three separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s rushing yard performance in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the respective player, with payouts capped at $1.00 and limited to a maximum of 400 yards. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, meaning that if a player records 80 yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80; at 200 yards, both Yes and No contracts pay $0.50 each; and if the player records zero yards, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. All markets operate independently, and each resolves to Yes if the defined payout conditions are met based on the player’s actual rushing yard total.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different rushing yard outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to find value where the markets diverge from traditional betting lines.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the New England vs Miami game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual rushing yardage falls within the ranges defined by each contract in this market. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any resulting payouts on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the projected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also impact expectations. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ running game effectiveness could drive trading activity and alter the odds in this market. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.