TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard thresholds for specific players in an upcoming professional football game. Each market resolves based on whether a designated player achieves a particular rushing yard milestone during the match.
All markets resolve based on the rushing yards accumulated by specified players in the New England vs Miami professional football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the named player records the specified rushing yard threshold during the game. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual rushing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the threshold specified.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate predictions of informed traders. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Polls and analysts’ predictions can also differ from both, offering a broader range of perspectives on the likely outcome of the game and the total rushing yards.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total rushing yards. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific yardage total occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential outcomes of the game, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely rushing yardage.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yards total from the New England vs Miami game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. Contracts predicting a rushing yards total that falls within the actual result will pay out, while those predicting a different total will not. Traders should monitor official NFL sources for the final statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also impact the expected rushing yardage. Game-day updates, such as starting lineup announcements or in-game performance, will undoubtedly influence trading activity. Unexpected strategic shifts by either coaching staff could also move this market as traders adjust their predictions based on evolving game dynamics.