TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between New England and Miami. It focuses on whether designated players achieve certain yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving plays during the match. The outcome depends purely on the players' statistical contributions.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around whether Ollie Gordon II or Rhamondre Stevenson achieve specified combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different yardage benchmark (80+, 105+, and 130+) for each player. If either player meets or exceeds their respective threshold during the game, the associated market resolves to Yes. A player must take at least one snap for the market to be settled based on actual performance; if a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution depends solely on the total rushing and receiving yards they record. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each specified performance threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on news and betting patterns, but this market allows traders to continuously update their predictions based on new information and their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts the perceived probability of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether Ollie Gordon II will surpass 105+ combined rushing and receiving yards. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe the outcome is likely, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final statistics for the New England vs Miami game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official combined rushing and receiving yardage for Ollie Gordon II will be used to determine whether the 105+ yard threshold has been met. The resolution will reflect the official game data as reported by the NFL and verified by independent sources.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding Ollie Gordon II’s health, such as an injury report, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in the opposing team’s defensive strategy or key player absences could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions during the game, like heavy rain or wind, might affect the overall rushing and passing game plans. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions in this market.