TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players will carry the ball during an upcoming football game between New England and Miami. Each market focuses on a different player and a specific minimum number of rushing attempts they need to achieve for the market to settle as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the specified number of rushing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each participant's performance threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply how each side interprets the available data. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both the New England and Miami teams will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game logs will serve as the basis for determining the total, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics as the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could impact the game plan. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about player availability or team tactics could lead to substantial movements in the market as traders react to the new information and adjust their predictions.