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New England vs Miami: Receptions Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of New England vs Miami?

Volume:
$2,780

Malik Washington

 - Kalshi

Malik Washington - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 7:44 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Malik Washington

View
5%
Yes 4.6¢No 95.5¢
—
N/A
$749
N/A
N/A
$545
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Caleb Douglas

View
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Hunter Henry

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$1,847
N/A
N/A
$1,847
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Rhamondre Stevenson

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
$144
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 4

Description

This market tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific New England players during their game against Miami. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts increase progressively with each additional reception, following a cubic scaling formula, while 'No' contracts compensate inversely based on the 'Yes' payout. The structure incentivizes precise prediction of individual player performance in a key matchup.

Kalshi

Contracts pay out based on the exact number of official receptions recorded by designated New England players in the Nov 1, 2026 game versus Miami. Each 'Yes' contract’s payout follows a cubic scaling formula: floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where 's' equals the player’s official receptions. Payouts range from $0.0000 for 0 receptions up to $1.0000 for 14 or more receptions. Each 'No' contract pays $1.00 minus the corresponding 'Yes' payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract pair. All markets resolve to 'Yes' when payouts are determined, regardless of the game’s final outcome. The formula caps payouts at $1.00 for 'Yes' and ensures complementary 'No' values, creating a zero-sum structure around predicted reception totals for each named player.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It’s important to compare both to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment regarding player performance in the New England vs Miami game. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final reception totals for the players involved will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the results, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics following the game’s completion to understand the market’s outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and impact prices. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or reports about a player’s health status would be particularly impactful. Furthermore, performance in previous games, analyst predictions, and public perception of player matchups can all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the NFL receptions market.