TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific New England players in an upcoming football game against Miami, focusing on their receiving yardage. Participants can bet on whether each player will achieve a certain level of receiving yards, with payouts scaling based on the actual yardage accumulated. The structure allows for nuanced betting on individual player performance within a key matchup.
The event consists of three separate scalar markets, each tied to a different New England player’s receiving yardage in the game against Miami. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded by the specified player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 400 yards. The No contracts pay the remainder, calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, meaning that if a player records 80 receiving yards, the Yes payout would be $0.20 and the No payout $0.80; for 200 yards, both payouts equal $0.50; and for zero yards, Yes pays $0.00 while No pays $1.00. All markets resolve based solely on the official receiving yard statistics from the game, with Kalshi explicitly stating it is not affiliated with the NFL.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the prices converge to represent a more accurate probability assessment. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the New England vs Miami game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official NFL statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final results.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected developments in player matchups or coaching decisions could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price of contracts. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest updates will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.