TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 8:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether they achieve certain receiving yard thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the actual statistics from the game, with specific protections for non-participation in the second half.
All contracts are designated as protected. If a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player meets the required receiving yards threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event uses full game receiving yards including overtime.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. You may find that this market agrees with sportsbook odds, or diverges based on information or analysis not fully captured by sportsbooks. It’s useful to compare both to form a more informed opinion, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential receiving yardage totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the New England vs Miami game. Traders are attempting to predict the final receiving yards total.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage statistics for the New England vs Miami game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official receiving yards totals, as reported by the NFL, will determine the winning contracts. It's important to note that the resolution is based on the official game statistics and not on any preliminary or unofficial reports. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or the opposing team’s defensive strategies could shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the predicted passing game performance. Unexpected changes in quarterback performance or play-calling tendencies could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or team tactics will likely be reflected in trading activity on Kalshi.