TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks receiving performance thresholds for specific players in an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of performance that, if achieved, triggers a resolution for that particular market. The outcomes are determined by actual game statistics.
All markets resolve based on the receiving yards accumulated by specified players during the New England vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the stated minimum receiving yards (e.g., 15+, 20+, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A player must take at least one snap for the market to be active—if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap (even if the play is nullified by penalty), the market settles strictly based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each named player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. This often leads to prediction markets being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they diverge significantly from the prices seen in this market. It’s useful to compare both to inform your decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different receiving yardage totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of the actual receiving yards falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined by supply and demand; if more traders believe a player will exceed a certain yardage total, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will decrease. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the New England versus Miami game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for all eligible players will be aggregated, and the market will settle based on whether the actual total falls within the ranges defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The official NFL statistics will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning contracts in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a game is expected to be played in adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or shifts in offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities and, therefore, the prices in this market.